Debt-to-GDP and Misdiagnosing a Bubble Economy’s Ills. Guest Post by Tim Iacono

A few economists seem to be catching on, but not nearly enough…

About a year ago, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard wondered whether too much faith was being placed in what models say economic growth should be but, as detailed in When Models Trump Common Sense, he was rebuffed by nearly the entire establishment (or at least “a small army of bloggers with PhDs in economics”).

Now, in a story at Project Syndicate, Raghuram Rajan, Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and the IMF’s youngest-ever chief economist tries to explain Why Stimulus Has Failed and, in doing so, questions whether the root cause of our current economic troubles is simply a lack of demand, casting himself as an Austrian sympathizer in the process: Read more…

About Tim:

Tim Iacono is the founder of the investment website ‘Iacono Research’ (http://iaconoresearch.com/), a subscription service providing market commentary and investment advisory services specializing in natural resources. He also writes a financial blog, formerly known as ‘The Mess That Greenspan Made’, a sometimes irreverent look at the many and varied after-effects of the Greenspan term at the Federal Reserve.

Disclaimer:

The views expressed in the posts and comments of this blog do not necessarily reflect APMEX Inc. They should be understood as the personal opinions of the author. No information on this blog will be understood as official.

 

How to Buy Gold and Silver: Basic Terms Explained

If you are thinking about investing in metals like Gold and Silver watch this video. Once you know some basic terms about buying and selling Precious Metals go online to APMEX.COM http://po.st/cJUTkP and start shopping. If you have any questions, call us toll free at 1-800-375-9006. You will learn about basic precious metals investing terms like troy ounce, ask, bid, spot, premium and grading.

Gold Dips- Jobless Claims Down

Analysts had expected an increase in jobless claims but the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to its lowest level since January 2008.  This is the second straight week of falling claims.  The unemployment rate held steady at 7.8 percent.  Although is appears many companies are not laying off workers as anticipated, they are adding new jobs at a slow rate. Some economists caution while interpreting these numbers, there is usually a lot of volatility this time of the year.

The Gold price fell overnight without breaking a key technical level.  For five days the Gold price has been just below $1,695 and ounce, an important level for Gold.  Additional pressure came against Gold as the U.S. House voted to suspend the nations borrowing limit until May 19 in effect pushing the debt ceiling threat down the road.

At 9 a.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,674.70, Down $14.00.
  • Silver, $31.86, Down $0.62.
  • Platinum, $1,683.70, Up $8.10.
  • Palladium, $723.90, Down $3.30.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Thursdays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EST)! Or call us Fridays until 6 p.m. (EST)! If you have any questions about investing in precious metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

U.S Mint Sells out of Silver American Eagles

The U.S. mint my not be a common topic of conversation around the dinner table, but so far this month the 6,007,000 ounces of silver they have sold has been enough to suspend silver sales.  In essence, the mint has sold out of silver coins.  We have yet to reach the record of 6.42 million ounces sold in January of 2011 but there is still time left in the month.  When sales resume it will be interesting to see how quickly the 2013 Silver American Eagle coin is consumed again.  The U.S. mint began minting the 2013 coin just this month.

On Thursday the S&P closed at its best level in more than five years and the Dow was very close to a similar record.  There is a sentiment out there that the bull market isn’t finished.  Some investors believe that the stock market could move higher, especially if the political uncertainty is resolved.  Chairman and CEO of Morgan Stanley, James Gorman said, “The U.S. economy is recovering. That’s unmistakable. The speed of it still remains to be determined.”

At 2:19 p.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,687.10, Down $5.70.
  • Silver, $31.89, Up $0.05.
  • Platinum, $1,699.90, Down $29.20.
  • Palladium, $721.60, Down $5.50.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Thursdays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EST)! Or call us Fridays until 6 p.m. (EST)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

Spanish debt auction a success; Platinum tops

If you are looking for excitement in the U.S. stock market, you may be left wanting. Futures on the Dow and the S&P are not showing us much this morning; however, the euro took a stronger position against the dollar and yen in overnight trading when a Spanish debt auction lifted sentiment toward riskier assets. They sold 4.5 billion euros in new bonds at a lower cost than in previous auctions. This was a sign of growing confidence among investors in the recession prone area.

The Gold price traded in a tight range overnight despite the positive news for the euro. Andrey Kryuchenkov, capital analyst with VTB Capital, said, “We maintain our preference for wider ranges to hold on spot Gold prices as choppy macro trading prevails, with attention to U.S. December housing starts and weekly jobless claims later today.” The Gold price may begin to increase again when debt ceiling talks come back into focus. In positive news for Platinum, the metal surpassed Gold in overnight trading for the first time in 10 months.

At 9 a.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,671.70, Down $13.40.
  • Silver, $31.19, Down $0.39.
  • Platinum, $1,685.90, Down $7.80.
  • Palladium, $723.00, Down $4.50.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Thursdays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EST)! Or call us Fridays until 6 p.m. (EST)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

 

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