Weekly Gold & Silver Market Recap – 10/31/2014

METALS AWAIT DIRECTION AHEAD OF FED MEETING

The week began with speculation on what might occur during the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting that began on Tuesday, along with a week of important economic data releases. Precious Metal prices received a nice boost Monday morning ending three consecutive days of losses from recovering physical demand. Precious metals strategist at Mitsubishi Corp International Johnathan Butler said, “Although this is clearly a bearish development for gold as it implies the beginning of monetary policy normalization, it may have already been priced in.”

EURO BEGINS TO IMPROVE

The euro gained ground and edged up on Monday following the European Central Bank’s stress test on European banks.  The test helped relieve some concern surrounding the eurozone economy and found smaller than expected capital requirements within European banks. Neil Mellor, a currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon in London, said, “There are some positives from the stress tests and it could have been a whole lot worse.”

GOLD DROPS AS ETP ASSETS DECLINE TO FIVE-YEAR LOW

Holdings in exchange traded products (ETP) backed by Gold fell to their lowest level in five years on Monday. The metal’s 30-day historical volatility climbed in October, shaking many investors out of the market. Investors continue to try and predict when the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, which is considered negative for metal prices.

GOLD LIFTED BY WEAK DOLLAR

Precious Metals reacted positive on Tuesday to data from the U.S. Commerce Department showing durable goods orders fell 1.3 percent in September. The news pressured the U.S. dollar, which assisted Gold as it regained nearly four percent this month on global growth concerns. “There were some stops triggered once we breached yesterday’s low, but China walked in and pushed up Gold,” one Hong Kong trader said. “People are nervous ahead of the FOMC and big position changes are unlikely. For the moment, I think we will hold between $1,220 and $1,240 [per ounce].”

HOUSING MARKET FUTURE UNKNOWN

U.S. housing data released on Tuesday showed an overall increase for single family home prices for the month of August from 2013, though the increase fell short of expectations. The S&P/Case Shiller composite index compared 20 metropolitan areas and reported a 5.6 percent gain for the month of August, the lowest year-to-year growth since November 2012. “Despite the weaker year-over-year numbers, home prices are still showing an overall increase, as the National Index increased for its eighth consecutive month,” S&P Dow Jones Indices index committee chairman David Blitzer said in a statement. The housing market will be a focus point once the Fed ends its stimulus program, as the policy initially began after the devastation from the notorious 2008 U.S. housing bubble.

FEDERAL RESERVE ENDS QE, PRESSURES COMMODITIES

Wednesday afternoon the market reacted to the Federal Reserve’s announcement to end its quantitative easing (QE) program, which consisted of monthly bond buying to stimulate the U.S. economy. Stocks fell, bonds sold off and Precious Metals were pressured lower after the news broke from the Fed’s policy meeting. Gold fell slightly more than one percent once the news broke. Investors also noticed a more aggressive tone toward raising interest rates sooner than later. “Maybe we brought forward the (first rate) hike a month or two from where it was yesterday,” David Ader, chief Treasury strategist at CRT Capital, said. Wall Street expected a fourth quarter rate hike, despite Fed forecasts of a hike occurring near mid-year.

METALS CONTINUE FALL ON FED’S DOVISH STANCE

Precious Metal prices were moving rapidly and trading lower on Thursday after Wednesday’s announcement from the U.S. Federal Reserve to officially end the stimulus program that has provided support to the economy.  However, even with the losses that occurred, some analyst are positive for the direction of Gold and believe the recent selloff in Gold prices is overdone and demand for the metal has already rebounded.

U.S. DOLLAR CONTINUES TO CLIMB

A day after the Federal Reserve’s recent statement, the U.S. dollar climbed to its highest point in more than three weeks.  Although investors continued to take in the dovish tone from the Federal Reserve, upcoming data may also play a factor is Gold’s pricing.  Esther Reichelt, currency strategist at Commerzbank said, “The positive sentiment is likely to be reinforced by today’s third-quarter gross domestic product data.”

BANK OF JAPAN’ S NEW ROUND OF QE WEIGHS ON PM PRICES

Friday morning both Gold and Silver fell to their lowest point since 2010.  The cause was mainly due to an unexpected move by the Bank of Japan to begin a new round of quantitative easing, which weakened the Yen to a near seven-year low.  The news boosted the U.S. dollar to a four-week high against other major currencies.  Precious Metals are attempting to fight off the many factors that are currently pressuring their price this week with the Fed ending QE in addition to Thursday’s strong U.S. gross domestic product data that was released.

At 5:24 p.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,175.50 Down $25.10
  • Silver, $17.26 Down $0.25
  • Platinum, $1,240.00 Down $7.90
  • Palladium, $794.50 Up $12.80

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Canadian Gold Maple Leaf coins, considered some of the most beautiful Gold coins in the world, appeal to both investors and collectors worldwide for their beauty and high purity.

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  • Contains 1 oz of .9999 fine Gold.
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Paper vs Gold: 1971-2013

The U.S. dollar’s purchasing power has gone down since 1971. However, the purchasing power of Gold has gone up.

PaperVsGold_Infographic*Disclaimer: Gold and Silver prices are subject to vary and this infographic is for illustration purposes only.

You Can Still Get 2013 Graded Silver American Eagles While Supplies Last!

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The Silver American Eagle is one of the most popular Silver bullion coins in North America, and 2013 Certified Silver American Eagles are highly valued by collectors. Certified Eagles are in demand for many reasons:

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Weekly Gold & Silver Market Report for Apr 12, 2013

GOLD REACTS TO ECONOMIC CONDITIONS

As the week began, the price of Gold was mostly flat after positive gains last week. There is a continued move from commodities into equities, though many economists wonder how long this trend will last. “Equities are stronger, and that’s why we are seeing some profit-taking in Gold, but losses could be contained as there is still a lot of uncertainty, especially in Europe, where some issues are re-emerging in Portugal,” MKS Capital Senior Vice President Bernard Sin said.  This week’s main focus was on the United States Federal Reserve meeting and the future of their easing policies. “Market participants will be keen to get further clarity on where Fed members stand on QE, particularly given rising talks of flexibility and potential tapering of asset purchases,” UBS said in a note. The monthly Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes were released early Wednesday morning, though the contents were hardly newsworthy. The report showed a growing number of reserve members questioning continued monetary easing. “In particular, participants pointed to possible risks to the stability of the financial system, the functioning of particular financial markets, the smooth withdrawal of monetary accommodation when it eventually becomes appropriate, and the Federal Reserve’s net income,” the March meeting minutes state. However, these minutes were compiled before the release of the latest employment report, which showed a slowdown in new job creation. Since the beginning of the easing program, the Fed has made it clear the program will continue until employment reports show major improvement. Another catalyst of Gold’s price drop came from Cyprus’ intention to sell excess Gold reserves to help finance their economic bailout. It is not a large enough amount of Gold to affect the price on its own; however, it does open the door to speculations of other countries’ potential plans to deal with economic issues. “A bearish interpretation would be, where Cyprus leads, others will follow. If those others were Spain or especially Italy, they have very large reserves. But there are good reasons to think in this, as in other aspects, Cyprus is a special case,” Macquarie Metals Analyst Matthew Turner said. By the end of the week, Gold had lowered to its lowest level since July 2011. Gold’s response to economic data and U.S. and foreign currencies has adjusted over time and MKS Group’s Senior Vice President Frederic Panizzutti has noticed, saying that lately, Gold “does not seem to respond adequately to the current financial and geopolitical situation. The rumors about Cyprus possibly selling some Gold from its Central Bank reserves had a psychological impact resulting in some selling despite the fact that the amount of Gold being mentioned could easily be absorbed by the market.”

MARKET REACTION QUESTIONED

While the financial markets monitor and react to different reports around the world, many economists are questioning if those reactions are justified. U.S. consumer confidence dropped to a nine month low in April as economic stability has become a concern for Americans. Pessimistic data on jobless reports and recent retail sales is preventing economic growth. The Federal Reserve plans to continue with its monetary easing policy to create stronger job and housing markets.  On the topic of monetary easing in the U.S., a prominent Wall Street money manager has joined the list of those criticizing the Fed’s quantitative easing program. Rick Rieder, the managing director of investment firm BlackRock, is calling on the Fed to rein in its bond-buying efforts, describing them as “a large and dull hammer” that is in danger of increasing inflation. This opinion marks a change for Rieder and BlackRock; in the past, the firm had been a proponent of government debt. According to Rieder, “Fed policy has had a distorting effect on capital allocation decisions of all kinds at virtually every level of the economy.” In Europe, the economic issues have been well documented and the news this week did not change the region’s outlook. Credit ratings agency Moody’s cut Spain’s rating as they expressed a pessimistic view on the country’s credibility. Spain’s new credit rating is Baa3, just one level above junk status. “Whilst acknowledging the progress in fiscal consolidation that Spain has achieved at all government levels, the outlook on Spain’s government bond rating remains negative given the continued challenges it faces in meeting the deficit targets,” Moody’s wrote in a note. Surprisingly, the Gold price has yet to react to tensions out of North Korea, instead being swayed more by economic data, monetary policy decisions and currency trades. Wednesday’s news about Cyprus selling a portion of its Gold reserves is also weighing on the Gold price. UBS said in a note, “Given the significantly weaker-than-expected employment print in March, the focus on U.S. economic data is bound to become more acute in the coming weeks and months as the market searches for clues on whether the current momentum of opinion at the Fed continues or stalls.”

At 5:00 pm (EDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1485.70, Down $82.20.
  • Silver, $26.05, Down $1.77.
  • Platinum, $1478.10, Down $48.70.
  • Palladium, $707.40, Down $27.00.

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