Eurozone index indicates upcoming recession

American stock futures and Precious Metals are down this morning, as news out of Europe disappointed investors. The eurozone purchasing managers’ index declined in July, further indicating a recession is likely soon in the region. Rob Dobson, senior economist at Markit, said, “The final August PMI came in only slightly below its earlier flash estimate, leaving the eurozone economy on course to fall back into technical recession in the third quarter.” Dobson said “there is little prospect of a sustained improvement in economic conditions over the near term.”

Eurozone policymakers are set to meet tomorrow, and many investors are expecting a new round of monetary easing in the form of bond purchases. One interesting possible outcome of the eurozone meetings is that if any disappointing news comes out and the markets take a hit, the United States Federal Reserve may be more willing to enact its own quantitative easing measures. Stephen Davies, chief executive at Javelin Wealth Management, added another wrinkle to the story. He said, “We are entering into a strange couple of months because the ability of the Fed to take up much of the slack seems to be quite limited on the basis that they will be quite reluctant to make any major moves ahead of the election, on fear of appearing too partisan.”

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,694.40, Down $0.30.
  • Silver, $32.33, Down $0.08.
  • Platinum, $1,567.00, Down $1.50.
  • Palladium, $643.00, Up $1.50.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Fridays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

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Metals flat after jobless report

English: A frame from a screencast from the US...

English: A frame from a screencast from the US House Financial Committee full committee hearing “An Examination of the Extraordinary Efforts by the Federal Reserve Bank to Provide Liquidity in the Current Financial Crisis which took place Tuesday, February 10, 2009, 1:00pm, 2128 Rayburn House Office Building. The frame shows Chairmen Ben Bernanke responding to a question posited by John E. Sweeney Full Committee (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Precious Metals are mostly flat this morning as the release of the weekly jobless claims report has had little effect on Gold and Silver. The four week moving average of new claims rose by 1,500, while the week to week change was flat. The main focus of the markets continues to be the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, and, more specifically, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech Friday. Daryl Guppy, chief executive at Guppy Traders, said, “We are sitting back on this (long term uptrend) point (in the stock market) so we either see a strong reaction away or a strong break away from this level (in response to Bernanke). And that’s the key factor we’re seeing across the board, because we are sitting on critical levels.”

Europe is clearly taking a backseat to the Fed’s potential monetary easing announcement, but the European Central Bank (ECB) is readying for an ECB Governing Council meeting next week. James Reid of Deutsche Bank said, “For now, Europe is in a holding pattern ahead of clarity surrounding the next move in the great ECB bond buying maneuverings, and the U.S. is in limbo ahead of Bernanke’s Jackson Hole appearance tomorrow. For the latter, speculation mounts that Bernanke won’t say anything overly new in his speech.”

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,664.70, Up $3.30.
  • Silver, $30.91, Down $0.02.
  • Platinum, $1,526.00, Up $4.70.
  • Palladium, $633.90, Down $2.50.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Thursdays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT)! Or call us Fridays until 6 p.m. (EDT)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

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Gold at a two-month high, breaks key level

 

Gold prices are at a two-month high this morning, tracking the euro upwards.  VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said, “A break above $1,630 is very significant, as we breach the June-July and early August range.  Buy orders were triggered, with the dollar index also slipping below support … at early July lows.  This is on speculation that the ECB will act.”  Kryuchenkov went on to say that as normal, Gold is trading against the dollar in this case.

Today’s trading aside, the dollar has enjoyed a rally lately on risk aversion.  However, that could all be undone, and the culprit could be the Federal Reserve.  Simon Derrick of BNY Mellon said, “If you look at the dollar’s performance over the last few years when quantitative easing (QE) was introduced, the dollar was absolutely weaker… were they to reintroduce QE, would that reintroduce dollar weakness?  Absolutely.”  Investors are looking to the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, scheduled for next week, for a sign that another round of QE is on the horizon.

Today’s rally in the euro could be things getting better for the euro before they get worse.  Jane Foley of Rabobank International said, “The market may be optimistic that the (European Central Bank) will act to subdue peripheral yields in September, but that implies that there is plenty of scope for disappointment.”  This scope for disappointment is something that is common when the market pre-prices events such as central bank interventions that don’t always see the light of day.

At 9:34 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,638.80, Up $17.40.
  • Silver, $29.31, Up $0.61.
  • Platinum, $1,507.00, Up $7.80.
  • Palladium, $621.80, Up $12.60.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Fridays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

 

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