EU shocker sends precious metals higher

Precious Metals prices moved noticeably higher in early morning trading as the dollar weakened against the euro on news of a European plan to lower eurozone member nations’ borrowing costs. Economist Vishnu Varathan said, “It still falls short of a concrete solution, but the removal of severe pessimism over what’s going to come out of the EU summit is driving markets higher.” Meanwhile, the news has led analyst Lynette Tan to offer a positive year end outlook for Gold. She said, “In the long run, we’re still bullish on Gold. It’s still likely to hit last year’s high of $1,920. The global economy is not doing well, and we expect safe haven demand to be back for Gold.”

Eurozone leaders came together and hammered out a surprising compromise plan to help member nations. There are still issues to be worked out, but going from “no hope” to at least a road map of a plan on which everyone agrees has been a boost to global markets. The biggest shock of all was Germany’s agreement to a majority of the provisions. Banker Holger Schmieding said, “The summit result offers no ‘silver bullet’ to solve the euro crisis once and for all. … It is another attempt to buy some extra time for the underlying fiscal repair and structural reforms to show results. All in all, there is some progress.” However, strategist Charles Diebel stated what many investors are probably thinking: “It is one step on a very long road. But we don’t have any details, and arguably the detail is where the risk lies, because the market will start to pick holes in it, as we’ve seen previously.”

At 9:03 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,598.50, Up $46.60.
  • Silver, $27.73, Up $1.38.
  • Platinum, $1,428.00, Up $40.20.
  • Palladium, $580.00, Up $15.10.
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Eurozone worries mount; precious metals on the move

Early morning precious metals prices have been fairly volatile on eurozone debt fears and the escalation of violence and rhetoric involving Syria. Analyst Robin Bhar said, “Gold is capped on the upside by disappointment post-Fed, while on the downside, we have some bargain hunting, and a bit of physical buying into the troughs… We are stuck in a fairly small range here, in the 1570-1600 area, certainly until the weekend when we will get to hear more on how the euro zone will be (tackled).”

The eurozone debt issues continue to escalate after the announcement of a fifth eurozone nation applying for aid. Although Cyprus, the fifth nation seeking aid, is a much smaller “hit”, the combined impact of rising Italian and Spanish yields, Greek resolution, and monetary bailout has European leadership at a crucial crossroads. A summit has been put together to overcome some hurdles the European Union is now facing. Basically the whole of Europe is interested in a single treasury and euro bond, except Germany, but Germany is, at this point, the only truly solvent nation and facing their own issues in being the benchmark, if you will, as production and consumer sentiment in Germany has slid over the last couple of months. Chairman Jim O’Neill said, “The euro crisis is in some ways mind-bogglingly simple to solve … because it isn’t economics, it’s politics… If Angela Merkel and her colleagues stood there together with the rest of the euro area … and if they behaved as a true union this crisis would be finished this weekend.”

At 9:00 a.m. (EDT) – the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold – $1,579.80 – Down $9.10.
  • Silver – $27.30 – Down $0.33.
  • Platinum – $1,436.10 – Down $5.30.
  • Palladium – $602.50 – Down $5.80.
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Gold gains momentum & Spanish Yields

Gold continues to march in positive territory during today’s mid-day trading and appears to be gathering momentum. The euro gained ground relative to the dollar and other commodities (copper) are seeing their prices moving up as well. “(We had) a small pop higher in the euro and that was it,” Saxo Bank vice president Ole Hansen said. “The market wants to go higher now and it has taken comfort from the fact that buyers returned fairly quickly after the sell-off last week.”

The U.S.A. stock market is holding on to some gains today while absorbing the impact of Spanish bond yields hitting historic highs. There is still concern over Spanish debt levels and questions about the bank rescue deal. “Into their close, both Spanish and Italian bonds are bouncing off their (price) lows. The daily egg shells we walk on this week over Spain will of course be followed by Sunday’s election in Greece and what, if anything, the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) will announce next week,” said Peter Boockvar, at Miller Tabak & Co. The coming election in Greece is being viewed as a major factor in its status in the Eurozone.

At 1:00 p.m. (EDT) – the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:

  • Gold – $1,612.90 – Up $16.10.
  • Silver – $28.96 – Up $0.26.
  • Platinum – $1,454.50 – Up $3.20.
  • Palladium – $623.20 –Down $2.00.
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APMEX End of Week Report for 6/8/2012

Bernanke Speaks:

Official portrait of Federal Reserve Chairman ...

Official portrait of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Gold has had ups and downs this week. The market has many investors questioning the long term outlook for Precious Metals.  As with all investments, there will be unknown factors.  At present, there is the European economic crisis, the Chinese economic slowdown, and underachieved goals for a better American economy. With these situations being in play, it could signal good news for investors. Dennis Gartman, author of The Gartman Letter, said, “The trend for Gold is still from the lower left to the upper right. I think that you want to own Gold in dollar terms; I think you want to own Gold in euro terms; I think you need to own Gold in yen terms. And quite honestly at this point, given the economic circumstances, I think you’d like to be long of gold and short the stock market.”  There was a lot of cautious optimism bubbling ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s testimony before Congress this week.   Global strategist Dan Greenhaus said, “There’s just been, for the last 48, 72 hours, a growing feeling that a 10 percent decline in the stock market is as deep a decline as you would get with Ben Bernanke lurking tomorrow.” He also added, “The fate of the market in the next couple of days is in Ben Bernanke’s hands, and it’s over his interpretation of the state of the economy.”  That interpretation wasn’t as clear as some would hope, as Chairman Bernanke refused to tip his hat regarding any new stimulus package.  Bernanke indicated that while the central bank is willing to protect the economy from “worsening,” he did not specify what actions (if any) the Fed would take. “The Gold bulls are desperately hoping for further mention of some form of stimulus from the Fed,” said David Govett of Marex Spectron. “If some form of this is put on the table, then I expect Gold will react very positively. If however, as I personally believe, the Fed leaves things as they are for the time being, this will be viewed as negative and Gold will fall.”

Spanish Debt Downgrade:

MADRID, SPAIN - MARCH 30:  Spain's Minister of...

MADRID, SPAIN – MARCH 30: Spain’s Minister of Treasury and Civil Services Cristobal Montoro Romero unviels Spain’s budget for 2012, during a press conference at the Moncloa Palace on March 30, 2012 in Madrid, Spain. The budget for 2012, which comes in the wake of a 24-hour general strike, includes over 27 bn euros in savings. (Image credit: Getty Images via @daylife)

At the G-7 conference this week, Spain’s Treasury Minister Cristobal Montoro sounded the alarm about how bad the banking situation is in Spain at this time. As the debt gets worse the access to credit to help bail themselves out is becoming more and more detrimental. He even called for European assistance, a departure from what other government officials had wanted, which was to raise the funds itself.  In an interview Montoro said, “The risk premium says Spain doesn’t have the market door open. The risk premium says that as a state we have a problem in accessing markets, when we need to refinance our debt.” That problem grew later in the week when ratings agency Fitch downgraded Spanish debt from A to BBB on concerns that the country will need a bailout package to avoid economic disaster. Furthermore, Fitch’s outlook is negative, which means that more downgrades are likely.  German Chancellor Angela Merkel reacted by reiterating Germany’s commitment to helping its weaker eurozone partners. “It is important to stress again that we have created the instruments for support in the eurozone and that Germany is ready to use these instruments whenever it may prove necessary,” she said.

Germany Holding the Reigns:

Germany appears to be willing to trade a greater role supporting its indebted EU partners for more centralized control over government spending in member nations. While

Deutsch: Dr. Angela Merkel Bundeskanzlerin der...

Deutsch: Dr. Angela Merkel Bundeskanzlerin der Bundesrepublik Deutschland Vorsitzende der CDU Deutschlands (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

continuing to stay away from the idea of “eurobonds,” there is growing interest in pooling the bad debt with a payoff timetable of 25 years. “The world wants to know how we expect the political union to complement the currency union,” German Chancellor Angela Merkel said. “We have to find an answer in the foreseeable future.” In comments later this week Chancellor Angela Merkel said that Germany will use all the tools it has available to support the 17-nation eurozone. “In view of the current difficulties, it’s important to emphasize that we have created the instruments of support in the eurozone, that Germany is ready to work with these instruments whenever that is necessary, and that this is an expression of our firm desire to keep the euro area stable.”  Merkel, however, has not backed off her rejection of debt sharing or access to euro bailout funds for Spanish banks.

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