Gold, Silver flat as Jackson Hole speech looms

Jackson Hole, WY

Jackson Hole, WY (Photo credit: mf.lane)

Gold and Silver prices are mostly flat this morning ahead of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium to be held later this week.  Though European Central Bank President Mario Draghi has bowed out of the event, all eyes are still on the Federal Reserve and whether chairman Ben Bernanke will announce another round of quantitative easing.  Scott Anderson of Bank of the West said that the Fed has been “like a diver eyeing the pool from the edge of the diving board, but can’t seem to get themselves to move.”

The “will they or won’t they” game that the Fed has been playing in regards to quantitative easing has pushed and pulled the Gold price to highs not seen since Spring.  Many investors are expecting Bernanke to announce such a plan during his speech at Jackson Hole on Friday.  However, there is another Federal Open Market Committee meeting September 12-13 that may serve as the podium for the official announcement.  Danske Bank analyst Christen Tuxen said, “We think that we will see a fairly dovish Bernanke on Friday and that he will commit, if not at Jackson Hole then at the September FOMC meeting, to deliver more easing to the market.”

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,667.10, Down $1.10.
  • Silver, $30.93, Down $0.04.
  • Platinum, $1,520.00, Down $1.40.
  • Palladium, $635.20, Down $6.00.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Thursdays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT)! Or call us Fridays until 6 p.m. (EDT)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

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Gold slightly lower; market still analyzing FOMC minutes

 

American stock futures and Gold are slightly lower this morning as investors continue to analyze the latest Federal Open Market Committee minutes. The top story hasn’t changed; all eyes are firmly on a small town in Wyoming. “Given all the mixed messages, the Jackson Hole symposium next Friday is building up to be a key event as we look forward to the latest download from the chairman himself,” said James Reid of Deutsche Bank.

Yesterday, the St. Louis Federal Reserve president said that more easing may be unnecessary. Today, one of the longtime supporters of further quantitative easing by the Fed, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, stated his view on the matter. “The outlook for growth is 2 percent, if we are lucky 2.5 percent, over the next 18 months to two years. Back in the spring, we thought it was going to be 2 1/2, 3 percent. … We stepped down our outlook; unemployment is 8.3 percent; there’s a lot of reason to do more,” he said.

Though the Gold price has come off the recent rally this morning, Pradeep Unni of Richcomm Global Services said that it likely won’t last long. “Having got the necessary signals from the Fed for QE3, the market is just waiting for a confirmation to spike higher,” he said. “Any consecutive release of weaker than expected economic data will only add fuel to the fire.”

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,668.90, Down $2.40.
  • Silver, $30.58, Up $0.04.
  • Platinum, $1,542.00, Down $13.90.
  • Palladium, $644.80, Down $13.30.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT) Mondays through Fridays! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or would simply prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

 

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Gold at a two-month high, breaks key level

 

Gold prices are at a two-month high this morning, tracking the euro upwards.  VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said, “A break above $1,630 is very significant, as we breach the June-July and early August range.  Buy orders were triggered, with the dollar index also slipping below support … at early July lows.  This is on speculation that the ECB will act.”  Kryuchenkov went on to say that as normal, Gold is trading against the dollar in this case.

Today’s trading aside, the dollar has enjoyed a rally lately on risk aversion.  However, that could all be undone, and the culprit could be the Federal Reserve.  Simon Derrick of BNY Mellon said, “If you look at the dollar’s performance over the last few years when quantitative easing (QE) was introduced, the dollar was absolutely weaker… were they to reintroduce QE, would that reintroduce dollar weakness?  Absolutely.”  Investors are looking to the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, scheduled for next week, for a sign that another round of QE is on the horizon.

Today’s rally in the euro could be things getting better for the euro before they get worse.  Jane Foley of Rabobank International said, “The market may be optimistic that the (European Central Bank) will act to subdue peripheral yields in September, but that implies that there is plenty of scope for disappointment.”  This scope for disappointment is something that is common when the market pre-prices events such as central bank interventions that don’t always see the light of day.

At 9:34 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,638.80, Up $17.40.
  • Silver, $29.31, Up $0.61.
  • Platinum, $1,507.00, Up $7.80.
  • Palladium, $621.80, Up $12.60.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Fridays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

 

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HSBC predicts $1,900 Gold before 2013

 

Precious Metals gave up early gains after the better than expected nonfarm payrolls report was released this morning. The gain of 163,000 jobs in July blew past the expectations of 100,000. However, the unemployment rate moved up to 8.3 percent, the highest since February. American stock futures added to gains on the news.

The economies that make up the eurozone continue to drag. After barely avoiding a recession in the first quarter of the year, Ben May of Capital Economics said the future may not be so kind to that region. “If you look at the breakdown by country, it suggests that recession is going to be pretty broad based, and it’s not purely down to developments in the (eurozone) periphery,” May said.

Analysts at HSBC believe that the upcoming “fiscal cliff” for the United States and the rest of the economic uncertainty in the world will push the Gold price to $1,900 by the end of 2012. The analysts wrote, “Economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and the uncertainty of the U.S. November elections are theoretically gold bullish. … Patience is the most important commodity.” Staleness in Gold’s price can be attributed to a give and take in the markets, according to the report. “Periods of heightened eurozone concerns have typically led to equity markets selloffs, triggering margin call related selling in Gold as investors seek to raise cash.”

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,590.20, Up $1.90.
  • Silver, $27.23, Up $0.14.
  • Platinum, $1,392.20, Up $4.40.
  • Palladium, $575.50, Up $6.70.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Thursdays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT)! Or call us Fridays until 6 p.m. (EDT)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

 

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Will European Central Bank Take Action?

 

Precious Metals prices continue to trade mixed, as many investors are still waiting to see what (if anything) the European Central Bank does this week. “Uncertainty is growing regarding the outcome of the ECB meeting Thursday. In this context, the Gold market may trade largely sideways ahead of the meeting,” said BNP Paribas analyst Anne-Laure Tremblay said. “However, given the publication of U.S. nonfarm payrolls on Friday, any market reaction to the ECB meeting may prove short lived,” she said. While the U.S. Federal Reserve is also meeting this week, most analysts are of the opinion that it will not take any immediate action.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s coalition government has rejected issuing a banking license to the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). If permitted, it would provide the ESM access to increased liquidity via the European Central Bank, and proponents contend that might lower borrowing costs. All three parties of Merkel’s coalition have issued statements against the license. “Those who try to circumvent their own rules through the back door lose their legitimacy in the eyes of the public,” said Hans Michelbach of the Bavarian Christian Social Union. “Financing debt by means of the printing press leads to growing inflation dangers.”

At 1 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,615.50, Down $6.10.
  • Silver, $28.06, Down $0.07.
  • Platinum, $1,417.10, Up $5.30.
  • Palladium, $590.90, Up $1.80.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Thursdays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT)! Or call us Fridays until 6 p.m. (EDT)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

 

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