Anticipation for Friday grows, affects the markets

 

The dominant news of the week will be speculation as to what will or won’t be announced during the annual Jackson Hole symposium.  Anticipation leading up to those announcements left stocks flat.  David Morrison, senior market strategist at GFT Markets in London, said “There are hopes that the Fed chairman will signal that another round of quantitative easing (QE) is imminent, although it seems more likely that he will keep investors guessing, while assuring them that the Federal Reserve stands ready to intervene further, if required.”

 

The eurozone is in a battle of its own, regardless of what Bernanke says at Jackson Hole.  Spain is being sucked into the center of the eurozone debt crisis.  Spanish consumers have pulled as much as 5 percent of their private sector deposits.  The other side of this coin is that Greek banks are seeing a boost in their deposits since their June elections.  Private sector deposits are up about 2 percent.

 

Official portrait of Federal Reserve Chairman ...

Official portrait of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

Gold is riding a three month increase in price, up 3.1 percent.  This is the highest percentage increase since January.  The rising prices are fueled, in part, by expectations for what will come from the Jackson Hole meeting.  Gold’s meteoric rise in price, doubling since 2008, has been fueled by the Fed’s QE tactics.  For those that are risk adverse, gold holds a strong appeal; as currencies inflate, gold will always be a store of wealth as its value is historically independent of any one currency.

 

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals prices were:

 

  • Gold, $1,665.40, Down $8.70.
  • Silver, $30.90, Down $0.24.
  • Platinum, $1,524.50, Down $29.70.
  • Palladium, $640.40, Down $15.80.

 

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Gold slightly lower; market still analyzing FOMC minutes

 

American stock futures and Gold are slightly lower this morning as investors continue to analyze the latest Federal Open Market Committee minutes. The top story hasn’t changed; all eyes are firmly on a small town in Wyoming. “Given all the mixed messages, the Jackson Hole symposium next Friday is building up to be a key event as we look forward to the latest download from the chairman himself,” said James Reid of Deutsche Bank.

Yesterday, the St. Louis Federal Reserve president said that more easing may be unnecessary. Today, one of the longtime supporters of further quantitative easing by the Fed, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, stated his view on the matter. “The outlook for growth is 2 percent, if we are lucky 2.5 percent, over the next 18 months to two years. Back in the spring, we thought it was going to be 2 1/2, 3 percent. … We stepped down our outlook; unemployment is 8.3 percent; there’s a lot of reason to do more,” he said.

Though the Gold price has come off the recent rally this morning, Pradeep Unni of Richcomm Global Services said that it likely won’t last long. “Having got the necessary signals from the Fed for QE3, the market is just waiting for a confirmation to spike higher,” he said. “Any consecutive release of weaker than expected economic data will only add fuel to the fire.”

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,668.90, Down $2.40.
  • Silver, $30.58, Up $0.04.
  • Platinum, $1,542.00, Down $13.90.
  • Palladium, $644.80, Down $13.30.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT) Mondays through Fridays! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or would simply prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

 

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Gold prices are on the move

FRANKFURT AM MAIN, GERMANY - SEPTEMBER 27:  Th...

(Image credit: Getty Images via @daylife)

Precious Metals continue to move upward as investors continue to view the recently released Federal Reserve policy meeting minutes in a positive light.  Hopes continue to grow that the Fed will take some action soon to boost the economy. “The default action has changed from do nothing to do something,” Mitsui Precious Metals analyst David Jollie said. “This means that we can expect to see some action soon, but the latest minutes imply the Jackson Hole and the September 12-13 meetings are not likely to see QE3 launched.”   The Platinum price is still feeling the effect of labor interruptions as clashes between the police and striking miners in South Africa have reached a death toll of 44 people.

Spain has begun negotiations with eurozone partners over the requirements necessary to lower its borrowing costs, but has stopped short of requesting an official bailout.  The strategy currently in favor includes a combined attack by the European rescue fund (EFSF) and the European Central Bank (ECB) purchasing Spanish debt in the primary and secondary markets.  Spain’s borrowing costs are at record levels since the launch of the euro 13 years ago.  “Negotiations have started and are well under way. Right now the preferred option, the one that is being actively discussed, is for the EFSF to buy bonds on the primary market and for the ECB to buy bonds on the secondary,” one of the sources told Reuters on condition of anonymity.

Concerns over Europe and its debt situation are dragging on US stocks, with the S&P 500 heading to a weekly decline. “People aren’t willing to invest,” said Stephen Hammers, the chief investment officer at Compass EMP Funds. “If Europe gets worse, U.S. investors will see that as a warning sign.”  Adding to the concern are comments from German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble stating that giving Greece more time would not solve its problems and cost investors.

At 1:00 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX

Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,674.00, Up $35.00.
  • Silver, $30.72, Up $1.08.
  • Platinum, $1,557.70, Up $30.20.
  • Palladium, $657.50, Up $27.30.
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The Gold price experienced little movement today, settling just above $1,600 for most of the day.

 

The Gold price experienced little movement today, settling just above $1,600 for most of the day.  The yellow metal was heavily talked about once word broke that long-time gold bull John Paulson has confidence that the precious metal is a long-term currency and inflation hedge. This reassured investors that gold’s price has the opportunity to raise regardless of its performance the past two quarters.

The American economy is showing improvement with positive data in retail sales, the unemployment report and the trade deficit all reflecting stronger numbers.  With this progress, Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs is predicting if the Federal Reserve pushes further stimulus measures like quantitative easing (QE3), it will not be in September.  Hatzius wrote in a note to clients, “We believe that continued weakness is necessary to prompt a substantial easing move. And so far, that weakness is not showing up in the data.”  Many economists are under the impression that the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will indicate the central banks next move at the Fed’s summer recoil in Jackson Hole, Wyo. on August 31.

At 5 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,603.90, Up $2.90.
  • Silver, $27.89, Up $0.02.
  • Platinum, $1,397.00, Down $3.10.
  • Palladium, $576.80, Down $3.10.

 

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