Gold moves with the dollar. Unrest in Syria persists

 

While a strong U.S. dollar continues to put pressure on gold prices, many investors are showing confidence in gold after it fared well during yesterday’s sell off. “Gold is just moving with the U.S. dollar,” MKS Finance head of trading Afshin Nabavi said. “Yesterday, below the $1,570 level, we saw some light physical related interest come in. Today it has been very quiet.” The euro/dollar exchange rate has been a primary driver in day to day movement in gold.

Global unrest adds to the cloud of global economic uncertainty. The Syrian conflict continues to be a source of concern as rebel troops and forces of embattled President Bashar al-Assad continue to clash. US concerns were increased as Damascus has admitted it has, and is willing to use chemical and biological arms in the event of what it calls foreign intervention. U.S. President Barack Obama said the world would hold Assad and his entourage accountable “should they make the tragic mistake of using those (chemical) weapons

At 1:00 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,576.40, Down $2.50.
  • Silver, $26.85, Down $0.28.
  • Platinum, $1,386.80, Down $12.10.
  • Palladium, $562.90, Down $9.10.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours and are here to serve you until 7 p.m. (CDT) Mondays through Thursdays! If you have any questions about investing in precious metals or would simply prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help

 

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Credit Outlook Dims for Germany; U.S. Fiscal Cliff Looms

 

Precious metals continue to hold firm in the serious head winds afflicting other commodities markets. Gold in particular has been relatively range bound but in the current market conditions, that’s not an entirely bad thing. Analyst Hayden Atkins said, “Markets sold off really heavily yesterday, and gold held up pretty well against that. It is maybe the one thing that has really stayed solid against some pretty solid headwinds elsewhere.” Meanwhile the issues facing the euro have actually helped Gold in the eurozone as evidenced by Commerzbank’s note to investors which read, “Thanks to the euro’s depreciation vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar, gold in euro terms has been making gains for some time now. Since mid-May an upswing has become evident which in the current market environment should take the yellow metal on a further upward trajectory.”

Meanwhile Moody’s downgraded the credit outlooks of a few of the remaining Aaa rated countries in the eurozone. Those countries are Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg. Basically the main countries that would provide assistance to other countries in the region that may need financial assistance. The service released a statement saying, “Moody’s now has negative outlooks on those Aaa-rated euro-area sovereigns whose balance sheets are expected to bear the main financial burden of support — whether because of the need to expand the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) or the need to develop more ad hoc forms of liquidity support.”

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has already begun speaking towards the potential outcome of kicking the can down the road with the current fiscal situation. In an interview yesterday he said, “Many people who look at this say that, yes, you’d at least get a recession out of this. The cumulative size of those cuts – tax increases and spending cuts – are very, very large relative to the economy.” He also warned that any governmental failure could be quite damaging, relating it to the negative impact of losing the U.S. credit rating last year over debt ceiling talks. He said, “You saw huge damage to consumer confidence, to business confidence, and to confidence around the world in the United States because you had people in public office threatening to default on our nation’s obligations.”

At 9:00 a.m. (EDT) – the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,579.90, Up $1.00.
  • Silver, $27.06, Down $0.08.
  • Platinum, $1,397.60, Down $1.30.
  • Palladium, $569.40, Down $2.60.

APMEX’s Account Managers now have extended hours Mondays through Thursdays and are here to serve you until 8 p.m. (EDT)! Or call us Fridays until 6 p.m. (EDT)! If you have any questions about investing in Precious Metals or simply would prefer to place your order by telephone, we are here to help.

 

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Gold Seeks Direction Amid Global Economic Woes

As the week comes to a close, two things stand out in the marketplace. First are the unexpected positive job reports in the United States. These reports have given life to the dollar and taken the steam out of Gold’s two week rally. Second, negative economic news continues to flow out of Europe and China. Both have cut key interest rates, and that could be a good sign for Gold’s global outlook. “While the ECB cut was near term bearish for Gold, as it weakened the euro, it may be more bullish longer term. Added global liquidity, with policy easing measures from the eurozone, China and the Bank of England, may stimulate demand for hard assets, including Gold,” HSBC financial services wrote in a note.

The United States has been improving steadily in many key economic factors. Employment reports have shown fewer Americans without work. The housing market has turned a corner and is making up lost ground. The issue is with the pace of the improvement. Even with the unemployment numbers dropping, it is such an insignificant amount that the overall percentage remained unchanged. “Growth has been low, and there remains uncertainty about the economy and policy here and abroad. All of those things are weighing on activity, but overall I’d put it on low growth in the U.S.,” said economist Andrew Tilton of Goldman Sachs.

At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1633.89, Down $21.48.
  • Silver, $28.02, Down $0.48.
  • Platinum, $1490.96, Down $25.89.
  • Palladium, $595.25, Down $7.71.
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Central Bank Considers Reclassification of Gold Bullion

The Central Bank of the US Federal Reserve released a memo on June 18, which calls for the reclassification of gold from a 50% weighting to a 100% weighting. Currently, for every $1.00 held by the banks or central bank only 50 cents can be claimed as book value. By changing gold to a 100% weighting, it would retain full value just like other financial instruments. This would enhance gold’s appeal to the banking community and possibly drive up demand.

Friday’s big jump in the stock market was a reaction to news that European leaders are going to come up with a viable bailout plan. Although this was welcome, it is still a bailout and the European economies are still desperately struggling. U.S. companies are affected as well, and this is expected to show in the upcoming earning reports. Many U.S. companies are issuing warnings and they site Europe as a key factor for their disappointing numbers. Second quarter reports will show the euro debt crisis, weak European and Chinese demand, decline of the euro and the overall global economy will affect the earnings of many U.S. firms.

At 9AM EST the APMEX precious metals prices were:

  • Gold price – $1,594.50 – down $11.20
  • Silver price – $27.53 – down 15 cents
  • Platinum price – $1,439.50 – down $11.40
  • Palladium price – $580.90 – down $4.70
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EU shocker sends precious metals higher

Precious Metals prices moved noticeably higher in early morning trading as the dollar weakened against the euro on news of a European plan to lower eurozone member nations’ borrowing costs. Economist Vishnu Varathan said, “It still falls short of a concrete solution, but the removal of severe pessimism over what’s going to come out of the EU summit is driving markets higher.” Meanwhile, the news has led analyst Lynette Tan to offer a positive year end outlook for Gold. She said, “In the long run, we’re still bullish on Gold. It’s still likely to hit last year’s high of $1,920. The global economy is not doing well, and we expect safe haven demand to be back for Gold.”

Eurozone leaders came together and hammered out a surprising compromise plan to help member nations. There are still issues to be worked out, but going from “no hope” to at least a road map of a plan on which everyone agrees has been a boost to global markets. The biggest shock of all was Germany’s agreement to a majority of the provisions. Banker Holger Schmieding said, “The summit result offers no ‘silver bullet’ to solve the euro crisis once and for all. … It is another attempt to buy some extra time for the underlying fiscal repair and structural reforms to show results. All in all, there is some progress.” However, strategist Charles Diebel stated what many investors are probably thinking: “It is one step on a very long road. But we don’t have any details, and arguably the detail is where the risk lies, because the market will start to pick holes in it, as we’ve seen previously.”

At 9:03 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,598.50, Up $46.60.
  • Silver, $27.73, Up $1.38.
  • Platinum, $1,428.00, Up $40.20.
  • Palladium, $580.00, Up $15.10.
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